Nagorno-Karabakh

2006 - present

 

 

Nagorno-Karabakh is a small mountainous territory in the South Caucasus caught in limbo. Officially part of Azerbaijan, it functioned as a de facto part of Armenia as the two former Soviet republics fought a bloody war over the land once the Soviet Union fell apart. While it has declared itself an independent country, and fields a president, foreign ministry, and military, no other countries recognize it as such.

A 1994 ceasefire that ended the first war was shattered in 2020 as fighting flared again. Decades of military investment and a strategic alliance with Turkey provided Azerbaijan with a decisive edge, allowing it to recapture much of the territory it previously lost. After six weeks and thousands of deaths, another ceasefire was declared, cementing Azerbaijan's gains and prompting a crisis of confidence in Armenia. In 2023, another Azerbaijani offensive led to a functional surrender of Armenian and Karabakh forces and the flight of almost the entire Armenian population of the territory. With Azerbaijan firmly in control, the two countries are nearing agreement on a final peace treaty.